Government Revenues from Gambling

Why Commercialized Gambling is Different Than Any Other Business

Below is the testimony of Les Bernal, National Director of Stop Predatory Gambling, before a Georgia Legislature study committee on gambling in October 2019. As part of his presentation, Bernal explains why commercialized gambling is different than any other business. A copy of Bernal’s slides can be found here.

Les BernalWhy Commercialized Gambling is Different Than Any Other Business
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States that Rely Lotteries Funding the Most

This Washington Post story looks at the intended use for lottery revenues in each state. On average, lotteries accounted for 2 percent of overall state revenues, according to an analysis of Census data from researchers at the Rockefeller Institute of Government, a State University of New York policy think tank.

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LesStates that Rely Lotteries Funding the Most
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How California Lawmakers Goosed Jackpots To Create Record-Setting Lottery Sales

As California Lottery ticket sales have skyrocketed, California schools aren’t seeing much of a return on that investment. A KPCC/LAist investigation found contributions to education by the lottery are essentially unchanged from 12 years ago, even though revenues are up by billions.

“It’s toilet paper money,” said Mona Field, who writes a textbook on government and served on the Los Angeles Community College District board for four terms. “It really has always been a tiny, tiny percent of our education funding in California.”

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LesHow California Lawmakers Goosed Jackpots To Create Record-Setting Lottery Sales
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Statewide Casino Expansion Could Be A Risky Bet

When it comes to its casino expansion initiative as a vehicle for economic prosperity, New York seems very eager to keep hitting. But it’s a gamble that, at the moment, doesn’t appear to be paying off.

Three new upstate commercial casinos opened this year: del Lago Resort and Casino in Waterloo; Rivers Casino and Resort in Schenectady; and Tioga Downs in the Southern Tier. All have failed to produce the amount of revenue that was initially predicted.

The three casinos are estimated to produce a combined $220 million less in revenue this year than they promised to state regulators when they won their bids to build the casinos three years ago. Del Lago has generated $113 million in gambling revenue in its first nine months, far short of its $263 million projection.

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Les BernalStatewide Casino Expansion Could Be A Risky Bet
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New York’s Bet on New Casinos Has Yet to Hit Jackpot

This was to be a year of celebration for New York’s booming gambling industry, with gleaming new casinos opening, rapturous bettors flocking in and a win-win for the state, and a torrent of new taxes pouring into government coffers at no cost to anyone but the bettors themselves.

But like casinos — where glitter often hides the grime — the reality has been far less glamorous, with underwhelming returns, evidence of industry cannibalization and a new, sharp-edged conflict between the state and a major tribal gambling operation.

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Les BernalNew York’s Bet on New Casinos Has Yet to Hit Jackpot
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Amid state takeover, bond agency designates negative outlook for Atlantic City

Moody’s Investors Service issued a May 2017 report on Atlantic City that kept the city’s general-obligation bond rating at Caa3 but revised the outlook to positive from negative.

The ratings company believes the state intervention has had a positive effect on the city, but it remains concerned about the city’s continued reliance on the casino industry and high debt burden.

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Les BernalAmid state takeover, bond agency designates negative outlook for Atlantic City
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The Relationship Between State Lotteries and Government Assistance Payments

This paper examines United States lottery revenues and finds an increase in lottery activity during weeks in which transfer payments (i.e. Aid to Families with Dependent Children, Social Security, disability, etc.) are distributed. Revenues from state lotteries are also shown to increase during the week transfer payments are distributed. The timing of the increase in lottery purchases suggests a portion of the transfer payments is used to purchase lottery tickets.

Running the Numbers on Lotteries and the Poor – An Empirical Analysis of Transfer Payment Distribution and Subsequent Lottery Sales

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Australian Government Study Reveals the Spectacular Failure of Government-Sanctioned Gambling

This report from the Productivity Commission of Australia (the Australian Government’s independent research and advisory body) provides an in-depth analysis of the effects of the predatory gambling industry on the nation. Gambling, and specifically “pokies” or video slot machines, became pervasive across almost the entire Australian nation by 1995.

Community backlash against slot machines in Switzerland caused the nation to ban slot machines outside of casinos in 2005. Widespread concerns in Russia about gamblers losing their life savings and becoming destitute caused that country to ban all gambling, other than in four highly remote regions. Due to increased problem gambling, Norway banned all video slot machines in 2007 and Internet gambling in 2009. The Norwegian gambling authority is implementing “less aggressive” (slower play, low maximum loss rates) gambling machines in smaller numbers than the banned slots.

The major conclusions from the Australian report are:

* Gambling now costs Australian society about $4.5 billion dollars per year, the bulk of costs deriving from video slot machines. These costs exceed benefits when “excess” losses by problem gamblers is included. Cost per year per adult translates to $210. $1 U.S. dollar = $1.08 in Australian dollars as of Oct 23, 2009.

* 42 to 75 percent of total machine losses are paid by moderate and high risk problem gamblers.

* Gambling machines, as contrasted to other forms of gambling such as lottery or tables games account for around 75–80 percent of ‘problem gamblers’ and are found to pose significant problems for ordinary consumers.

* About 2.5 percent of Australian adults are now problem gamblers.

* 8 to 15 percent of Australian problem gamblers seek treatment. “Internationally, around 6-15 per cent of people experiencing problems with gambling are reported to seek help from problem gambling services…People experiencing problems with their gambling often do not seek professional help until a ‘crisis’ occurs — financial ruin, relationship break down, court charges or attempted suicide — or when they hit ‘rock bottom.’

* Help services for problem gamblers using them have worked well overall, but they relate to people who have already developed major problems and are thus not a substitute for preventative measures.

* The potential for significant harm from some types of gambling is what distinguishes gambling from most other enjoyable recreational activities — and underlines the communities’ ambivalence towards it. While many Australians gamble, they remain skeptical about the overall community benefits. For instance, one survey estimated that around 80 percent of Victorian adults considered that gambling had done more harm than good (with little difference between the views of gamblers and non-gamblers). Looking at all Australian surveys, roughly 80 percent of the public wants to see video slot machines removed or their numbers reduced.

* Many people who do not fit the strict criteria for problem gambling are found to experience significant harms. For example, of those people who said that gambling had affected their job performance, some 60 percent were not categorized as ‘problem gamblers.’

* 39 percent of high risk problem gamblers suffered adverse effects on workplace performance.

* Had there been full knowledge at the time about the harmful effects of substantially increasing accessibility to gaming machines in the 1990s, a different model of liberalization, with less widespread accessibility, may well have been seen as appropriate. Western Australia did not follow the approach of other jurisdictions and appears to have far fewer gambling problems.

* The effect of widespread gambling machine availability on the economy can be seen in Australia, where gambling losses reached 3.1 percent of household consumption, 6.3 percent in Northern Australia.

* Beyond the powerful example provided by the early liberalization experiences of Australia, there is a broad range of evidence suggesting a link between proximity and harm.

* 60 percent of Australian teens gamble on video slot machines by the time they are 18 years of age. Over 60 percent of Aussie teens have gambled in some form before they reached 18 years.

* Increased knowledge of gambling in children may have the unintended consequence of intensifying harmful behavior, a risk that should be considered in the design (or even in considering the introduction) of school-based programs. Nevertheless, several insights emerge from the drug, alcohol and driver education literature that may increase the effectiveness of any school-based gambling education programs and potentially reduce the risks of adverse behavioral responses: a school-based education program may be more effective if accompanied by a corresponding change in societal attitudes and a media campaign. For instance, the relatively greater success of school-based tobacco programs (compared with alcohol) is attributed to the fact that these were accompanied by consistent anti–smoking messages in the general media and to the emergence of a strong anti–smoking social movement.

* Australian gamblers are estimated to lose A$790 million per year, about 4 percent of the size of legal gambling, in illegal online gambling and Internet casinos.

* The report found that slot machines are between 6 and 18 times more risky than lotteries

* Around 50 per cent of gaming machine gamblers have false beliefs about how gaming machines work, which pose risks to them…’Faulty cognition’ about slot machine design is strongly associated with problem gambling. 33 percent of high-risk problem gamblers, 20 percent of moderate risk, and 5 percent of recreational gamblers believe that a gambler is more likely to win on a slot machine after losing many times in a row. Some groups of consumers — such as people with intellectual or mental health disabilities, poor English skills, and those who are emotionally fragile (say due to grief) — may be particularly vulnerable to problems when gambling.

Australia’s Gambling Industries 2010 Report Vol. 1

Australia’s Gambling Industries 2010 Report Vol. 2

CkirbyAustralian Government Study Reveals the Spectacular Failure of Government-Sanctioned Gambling
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Casinos Failed to Bring Prosperity to Connecticut

Despite developing two of the largest casinos on the planet in the 1990s, the state of Connecticut is in dire fiscal shape. The New York Times piece below states that “Connecticut’s finances are among the most troubled in the nation: it is last or close to last in financing pension obligations and retaining reserves for emergencies, and near the top in per-capita debt…Moody’s lowered its outlook for the state’s bond rating to negative from stable.” This is just another example that casinos fail to provide the revenue promised by lobbyists of the predatory gambling trade. And what about jobs? The state has “an abysmal level of job creation and economic growth that has left the state with fewer workers employed now than in 1987.”

Beneath Connecticut’s Image of Affluence, Deep Fiscal Pain

CkirbyCasinos Failed to Bring Prosperity to Connecticut
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80% of Lottery Profits Come From 10% of the Players

According the New York Times: “States are also trying to bolster the number of ‘core’ players, according to interviews with lottery officials in several states. Such players typically represent only 10 percent to 15 percent of all players but account for 80 percent of sales, according to Independent Lottery Research, which does research and marketing for state lotteries.”

For Schools, Lottery Payoffs Fall Short of Promises

Ckirby80% of Lottery Profits Come From 10% of the Players
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